- Three of the past five winners of the GOP caucuses have gone on the win the nomination.
- Of the 13 contested caucuses in both parties since 1972, eight times (61%) the winner of the caucus has gone on to win his party’s nomination.
- No Republican who finished lower than 3rd place in the
caucus has gone on to win the party’s nomination. Only once (1988) did a third-placed finisher (George H.W. Bush) go on to win the nomination. Iowa
- No candidate who finished with less than 18% of the vote at the
caucuses has ever won the nomination (also 1988). Iowa
- George H.W. Bush lost the 1988
caucus by 20,467 votes (19%) yet went on to win the nomination. Ronald Reagan lost the Iowa caucus by 2,182 votes (2.1%) yet won the nomination. Iowa
- With the exception of Bill Clinton in 1992, every major party nominee who lost
Iowawent on to win . New Hampshire
- The largest victory margin of the
caucus was Bob Dole’s 13,900-vote win (12.8%) in 1988. The narrowest previous victory margin was George H.W. Bush with 2,182 votes (2.1%) over Reagan in 1980. Iowa
- The previous high for turnout was 108,806 in 1988, and the previous low was 87,666 in 2000.
- Bob Dole garnered the most votes of any GOP candidate in the
caucuses—40,661 votes in 1988. Iowa
- Only GOP incumbent presidents (Bush 2004, Bush 1992, Reagan 1984, Ford 1976) have ever carried both
Iowaand . No non-incumbent GOP candidate has ever carried both. New Hampshire
- Since 1988, every successful GOP presidential nominee has won at least 2 out of 3 of
Iowa, New Hampshire, and . South Carolina