Sunday, January 20, 2008

On to Florida - Delegate Count

Whereas we had expected a greater thinning, it appears that Fred Thompson and Mike Huckabee are severely damaged going into Florida. Both couldn't translate their southern roots to a much needed victory, and with diminished financial capacity, they will find it difficult to compete in Florida and February 5th. John McCain's South Carolina victory was not resounding, leaving Florida a battleground state. Although McCain can claim victory, and the MSM proclaims his frontrunner status, he still has yet to gain validation or acceptance of the Republican base. Rudy has bet the farm on Florida and it could be argued that his residence in Florida these past weeks has not garnered him any more support than a 4-way tie for first. Mitt is going into Florida with strength after Nevada, the delegate count, majority of Republican votes and depth in his financial resources and message. Florida is the next defining moment for McCain, Giuliani and Romney. Huckabee and Thompson will most likely continue to struggle and ultimately withdraw, whereupon their likely constituencies would lean to Romney, coalescing the conservative Republican base behind a Romney candidacy and Republican nomination. Patience, Perseverance and Strength will be advantages to Mitt's message and well of experience and leadership, leading to the nomination.

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